Friday, February 10, 2017

On Leads Changes and Swings

Wild thing, you make my heart sing
You make everything groovy, wild thing

Also inspired by Twitter, and because I can, I decided to gather statistics on games with
  • most lead changes*
  • most lead swings**
Here, for the 2016/17 season:
By most lead swings:
AWAY    HOME   Date        Sco LC LS
CHI  vs DAL  on 2017/02/04: 5-3 7 3
CBJ  vs OTT  on 2017/01/22: 7-6 11 3
PHI  vs STL  on 2016/12/28: 3-6 7 3
MTL  vs PIT  on 2016/12/31: 3-4 7 3
CHI  vs NYI  on 2016/12/15: 5-4 7 3
ARI  vs PHI  on 2016/10/27: 5-4 9 3

with 60 games at 2 lead swings. Dallas leads the way with 8 games with at least two swings, and Carolina, Chicago, NY Islanders and Winnpeg follow with 7 each.

By most lead changes:


AWAY    HOME   Date        Sco LC LS
CBJ  vs OTT  on 2017/01/22: 7-6 11 3
TOR  vs WSH  on 2017/01/03: 5-6  9 2
TOR  vs NYI  on 2017/02/06: 5-6  9 2
NYI  vs DET  on 2017/02/03: 4-5  9 1
CHI  vs COL  on 2017/01/17: 6-4  9 2
CAR  vs NYI  on 2017/02/04: 5-4  9 2
CHI  vs STL  on 2016/12/17: 6-4  9 1
BUF  vs OTT  on 2016/11/29: 5-4  9 1
ARI  vs PHI  on 2016/10/27: 5-4  9 3

with 31 game with at least 7 lead changes. Here we've got Carolina, Chicago and NY Islanders at the lead with at least 6 games with 7 or more lead changes.

And what do we get historically?

The wildest games, regular season, by lead swings:
AWAY    HOME   Date         Sco LC LS
PHI  vs BOS  on 2011/01/13: 5-7  11 5
COL  vs CGY  on 1991/02/23: 8-10 11 5
ARI  vs CGY  on 1991/01/15: 5-7  11 5
PHI  vs COL  on 1988/11/19: 5-6  11 5

with 30 games at 4 lead swings.

The wildest games, regular season, by lead changes:
AWAY    HOME   Date        Sco LC LS
DET  vs SJS  on 2005/11/26: 7-6 13 4
MTL  vs COL  on 2002/12/06: 6-7 13 2
COL  vs SJS  on 1997/04/04: 6-7 13 2
ARI  vs PHI  on 1990/01/25: 6-8 13 1
TOR  vs PIT  on 1989/10/25: 8-6 13 3
COL  vs WSH  on 1997/11/18: 6-6 12 3
PIT  vs NJD  on 1993/04/14: 6-6 12 1
BUF  vs CAR  on 1991/12/07: 6-6 12 4
CAR  vs TOR  on 1990/02/14: 6-6 12 2
VAN  vs TOR  on 1988/01/04: 7-7 12 3

with 65 games at 11 lead changes (even numbers can only occur in the ties era).

The wildest games, playoffs, by lead swings:
AWAY    HOME   Date        Sco LC LS
STL  vs DAL  on 1999/05/08: 4-5 9 4
MTL  vs COL  on 1993/04/26: 5-4 9 4
EDM  vs LAK  on 1992/04/20: 5-8 9 4

with 33 games at 3 lead swings.

The wildest games, playoffs, by lead changes:
AWAY    HOME   Date        Sco LC LS
BUF  vs OTT  on 2006/05/05: 7-6 13 2
PHI  vs CHI  on 2010/05/29: 5-6 11 3
COL  vs SJS  on 2010/04/16: 5-6 11 1
PHI  vs WSH  on 1989/04/11: 8-5 11 3

with 42 games at 9 lead changes (only odd numbers can occur)

The data is presented since the year 1987 - the earliest boxscores from the NHL.com
Now this one is going to make it into the website, I just haven't decided in which form.

*   Lead swing is defined as when a team takes the lead after the other team had it. 
** Lead change is defined as when a team loses the lead, even if only temporarily to a tied score.

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